- Options on VIX Futures
Appeared in VitalLaw - Wolters Kluwer - October 4, 2024
Pdf Version
- Do's and Don'ts for GENAI in Expert Work
Appeared in VitalLaw - Wolters Kluwer - February 20, 2024
Pdf Version
- How Intellectual Property Rights can Complicate NFT Market.
Appeared in Law360 - August 17, 2021
Pdf Version
- Bankruptcy Claims of Unbifurcated Hybrid Debt Issued by Private Companies.
Appeared Pratt’s Journal of Bankruptcy Law - February/March 2021
Pdf Version
- Behind the Curtain: The Role of Explainable AI in Securities Markets
Appeared in Wolters Kluwer – July 31, 2020
Pdf Version
- Artificial Intent
Appeared in Law360 – Jan 2019 – was presented at the Chicago Bar Association in April 2019
Pdf Version
- Bitcoin Price vs. Bitcoin Dominance
bitcoin.com – April 2018
Forum Link
- Crypto Set to Drive demand for traditional services
Appeared in Law360
Pdf Version 1Pdf Version 2
- Error of VaR by Overlapping Intervals
With Heng Sun, Guowen Han and Jiping Guo (Risk Magazine, March 2009)
- The Rise of the Humans
Pdf Version
- Comments on the "New VIX"
With John Hiatt, published in Swiss Derivatives Review July 2007
Pdf Version
- HedgeRepo - Using Credit Derivatives as Repo Collateral
With Kumar Kakumanu and Moorad Choudhry, published in Derivatives Use, Trading and Regulation (DUTR Volume 11, Number 1) June 2005
Pdf Version
- Review of Structured Notes
Published in StructuredNotesOnLine.com, December 2004
Pdf Version
- Innovations in Trading Strategies
pre-conference summit at the ICBI Global Derivatives and Risk Management Conference, 2003 - with multiple authors. Published in Quantitative Finance, August 2003
Pdf Version
- Merton's Model, Credit Risk and the Volatility Skew, John Hull, Izzy Nelken and Alan White.
Many financial institutions are profoundly interested in modeling the credit risk of various counter-parties. Traditional models rely on the stock price and stock volatility combined with knowledge of the company's financial structure. In this paper, we show that using just two option implied volatility numbers even without knowledge of the company's financial structure gives better results. Thus the paper connects two seemingly disjoint markets: the equity options market and the credit derivatives market. Published in Journal of Credit Risk, Volume 1, Number 1, Winter 2004/2005
Pdf Version
- Haircutting the Hedge Funds, Hari Krishnan and Izzy Nelken
Analysis of hedge funds on a historical basis is often misleading. Past returns look very high and the risks very small. There are risks in these funds that historical analysis can not account for. Many funds impose a "lock up". The investor can not withdraw capital from the fund for a pre-specified time (perhaps a year). There is a "liquidity premium" that must be accounted for. In this paper, we show how to calculate the liquidity premium.
Has been published in Risk Magazine , April 2003
- The Effect Of Stock Pinning On Options Prices, Hari Krishnan and Izzy Nelken
The process of “pinning” is frequently mentioned in stock traders' lore, but its effect upon the price of an option is not well understood. Some traders believe that on days when equity options expire (typically the third Friday of a given month), many stocks seem to close near a multiple of $5. In this paper, we give statistical evidence for the existence of pinning and develop an option-pricing model that incorporates this phenomenon. We conclude that, near expiration, there is a discrepancy between the Black-Scholes price of an option and the price of an option whose underlying stock has a higher than normal probability of being pinned. We analyze the various cases (e.g., when the pinned price is cheaper than the Black-Scholes price) and provide intuition for the price discrepancies.
Published in Risk Magazine , December 2001
- Estimating Implied Correlations for Currency Basket Options Using the Maximum Entropy Method, Hari Krishnan and Izzy Nelken
When valuing basket options of foreign currency, a major question is estimating the correlation matrix. In this paper, we shall use entropy as a means of choosing the correlation matrix which a. Matches the implied volatility of the basket option, b. Resembles the historical correlation matrix and c. Makes as few other assumptions as possible.
Published in Derivatives Use Trading and Regulation , Vol. 7, No. 3, (2001)
Pdf Version
- Japanese Reset Convertible Bonds, Izzy Nelken
Japanese reset convertibles have received some notoriety after the well publicized losses at the Union Bank of Switzerland (see for example “UBS to upgrade its derivatives losses to $421m”, Financial Times, January 31, 1998).
In this paper, we discuss several advanced issues relating to Japanese “style” convertible bonds. The convertible bonds, issued by several Japanese and Taiwanese issuers (among others) have some unique features.
This paper will also mention two more interesting items relating to non-reset convertibles:
- The duration of a convertible bond.
- How correlation impacts convertible securities
Pdf Version
- Weather Derivatives - Pricing and Hedging, Izzy Nelken
In this paper, we describe the Weather Derivatives market., weather options, how to price and hedge them and more.
Pdf Version
- Older Papers
- Pricing Compound and Chooser Options, Izzy Nelken
Using numerical integration to value these options. (Published in Risk Magazine April 1993)
- Contingent Premium Options, Izzy Nelken
A primer on contingent premium options.
Pdf Version
- Convertible Bonds, Izzy Nelken & Water Cheung
Using multi-factor trees to price convertible bonds.
Pdf Version
- El Pais
Interview with the El Pais newspaper about Exotic Options.
Pdf Version
- Parallel Financial Computing, Robert Bjornson & Izzy Nelken
How parallel computation was used to speed up some financial algorithms (Risk Magazine April 1992)
- Box Options, Izzy Nelken
Double barrier options and the "box trade"
Pdf Version
- Wisconsin Sentinel
Interview with the Wisconsin Sentinel newspaper
Pdf Version
- Canadian Compounds, Bill Falloon
Interview with Bill Falloon about the Compound Options issued by Banker's Trust Canada (Risk Magazine, July 1994)
- Structured Notes
Analysis of Structured Notes : (Risk Magazine Cover Story, December 1994)